Analysis of South Korea Economic Shrinkage Post-Trump and Martial Law

This video examines the collapse of the Korean market following Trump's election and the martial law situation. (p1) Lets take a look at the scale of the South Korean economy that evaporated after Trumps election and the martial law situation. (p2) Setting the stock price at 100 on November 5, just before Trumps election, here is the index fluctuation until 11 AM on December 10, one week after the martial law situation. (p3) The KOSPI was down about 3% until the martial law, but after the martial law, it dropped an additional 5% before todays rebound up until yesterday. The external environment is also unfavorable, and due to internal factors, the KOSPIs market capitalization has evaporated by a staggering 176 trillion won. (p4) The KOSDAQ is even worse. It had already suffered about an 8% hit before the martial law, and it dropped an additional 8% afterward. A total of 62 trillion won has evaporated. (p5) How did the three major U.S. stock markets perform after Trumps election? (p6) All indices are up by 5 to 8%. The economic gap is widening. (p7) Lets take a look at other major countries as well. (p8) Japan and the UK have maintained the status quo, while Hong Kong was affected but has recently recovered. (p9) I hope the South Korean economy recovers quickly. Youtube Link - Quarterly Performances

KOSPI Q3 Performance Explained

Join me as I summarize the KOSPI performance for the third quarter. Discover how despite record-breaking corporate profits, uncertainties like the U.S. presidential election and real estate slumps impacted the index. Let's explore what this means for future investments! (p1) I will summarize and interpret the KOSPI performance for the third quarter. (p2) Surprisingly, the cumulative KOSPI performance until the third quarter is the highest ever. (p3) Compared to 2023, sales increased by 5%, but operating profit and net profit have surged by as much as 70%. It is said to be the highest in history. (p4) However, the third quarter wasnt particularly good. You could say it has been similar throughout the year. (p5) With such good corporate performance, what happened to the KOSPI index? (p6) Looking back, until the second quarter, corporate performance was reflected, and it was rising well. However, as we entered the third quarter, it plummeted. What uncertainties were there? (p7) The uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election was the biggest factor, along with the real estate market entering another slump and the continued delays in domestic recovery, among various complex factors. (p8) Going forward, we will measure these uncertainties more precisely and reflect them in the value of each company. Thank you. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

Understanding Economic Cycles

In this video, we explore the concept of triple strength and weakness in economic cycles, focusing on the current situations in the U.S. and Korea. Discover insights on market trends and why now may be a pivotal time for investment in Korean stocks. Join us for an enlightening discussion! (p1) Today, we will look at it from a macro perspective. (p2) When stocks, bonds, and exchange rates all rise, it is called a triple strength, and when the opposite happens, it is called weakness. It is a very important concept to observe cycles. (p3) Since Trumps election, the U.S. has shown a triple strength, while Korea has exhibited a triple weakness. Extreme polarization has occurred in a short period. (p4) The causes of triple strength and weakness. The current situations in the U.S. and Korea are very similar. (p5) In our country, significant triple strengths have appeared four times in the past 20 years. All occurred during recovery periods after crises. (p6) The economy is a cycle. The U.S. cannot maintain its triple strength, and Korea will soon enter a crisis recovery phase. Today, a head of a securities companys research center mentioned that now is the time to increase cash holdings. Should we sell our falling stocks to increase cash? Thats truly absurd. I believe, on the contrary, that now is a time when the attractiveness of the Korean market is gradually increasing. Thank you! Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

Samsung's Stock Plunge Explained

In this video, we explore the recent drop in Samsung Electronics' stock price to 49,900 won, matching its value during the COVID pandemic. Discover the reasons behind foreign investors' selling and the impact of short selling being banned. Get the latest insights into the market trends affecting this tech giant. (p1) Yes, its unfortunate. I never expected it would fall to Samsung Electronics. (p2) It dropped to 49,900 won on the 14th. (p3) This is the same price as it was five years ago during the COVID period. (p4) The PER is calculated at 9.0, but there may be slight differences with other statistics as it is divided by the results of the last four quarters. (p5) The red line represents the foreign ownership percentage, while the blue line represents the stock price. (p6) Foreign investors have been continually selling, but the temporary halt in stock price decline was due to domestic retail investors supporting it. (p7) Now that short selling is banned, the average purchase price for foreigners is likely higher than 50,000 won. They seem to be cutting losses regardless of their average purchase price because they anticipate a higher exchange rate and have a bleak outlook for the future. Thats all I have to say. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

Q3 Earnings Season Analysis: Key Insights

Join us as we delve into the 3rd quarter earnings results of 491 listed companies. Discover which sectors excelled and which faced earnings shocks. Stay tuned for a comprehensive analysis on market trends and notable performers. (p1) Its earnings announcement season. Lets analyze the 3rd quarter results. (p2) Among the total 491 listed companies that announced results by November 13, there were 422 that reported profits and 69 that reported losses. Compared to the same period last year, 156 companies saw a decrease in profits. (p3) Meanwhile, among the companies with market consensus from securities firm reports, 107 outperformed the consensus. In contrast, the number of companies that underperformed is higher, at 184. (p4) These are the top companies that exceeded expectations. Hanmi Semiconductors operating profit increased by 33 times compared to last year. Additionally, we see companies in heavy industry, defense, and cosmetics. (p5) On the other hand, the companies that experienced an earnings shock are as follows. Steel, electronics, construction, and Doosans subsidiaries are highly visible. (p6) I have organized the sectors where the number of underperformers exceeds those that outperformed. The situations in materials, hardware, consumer goods, energy, and media sectors are not good. (p7) I will analyze more as the earnings come in. Thank you. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

Korean Stock Market Turmoil Explained

Explore the alarming recent decline in the Korean stock market, where over 80% of stocks plummeted. Understand the sector-specific vulnerabilities and the challenges foreign investors face. Will confidence in Korea return amidst global alternatives? Tune in for an insightful analysis. (p1) The Korean stock market is on shaky ground. (p2) On November 12, over 80% of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stocks fell. Among them, a whopping 24% of KOSPI stocks and 34% of KOSDAQ stocks recorded 52week lows. (p3) By sector, medical precision and pharmaceuticals saw greater declines that day, but these days, the sectors that are falling more are changing every day. There isnt a single sector that isnt experiencing a drop. (p4) Samsung Electronics PER has continued to decline, reaching 10.7, and its PBR is also below 1. Foreign investors sold a net 350 billion won in just one day on the 12th. This is not just a one or twoday issue. (p5) Fundamentally, the vulnerabilities of the Korean economy have been exposed. It is being hit hard by high exchange rates, tariffs, and an economic slump. Foreign investors need to regain their confidence in Korea, but with so many alternative investment options like U.S. stocks and Bitcoin, it seems difficult for foreign capital to flow in for the time being. Thank you. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

International Relations Update Overview

Join me as we analyze the evolving international situation. From ceasefire proposals and economic strategies to military alliances and geopolitical shifts, we'll examine key developments impacting global relations. Stay informed on these critical issues! (p1) Lets take a look at the international situation. (p2) A ceasefire proposal has come out. The borders are currently in an occupied state, they will provide military support but will not send troops. This is a proposal favorable to Russia, but Ukraine can also secure a justification. (p3) Mexico relies on exports to the U.S. and is saying that if it cant resolve the illegal immigration issue on its own, it will raise tariffs. This aims to resolve both issues at once. (p4) If China invades Taiwan, the basic strategy is also to retaliate with tariffs however, there are predictions that the relationship might improve due to Musks business interests in China. Additionally, if relations with Russia improve, it is anticipated that measures to contain China will strengthen due to the triangular relationship. (p5) In the Middle East, a proIsrael policy is expected. (p6) For North Korea, a proposal for nuclear abandonment along with a significant economic deal is anticipated. There are high possibilities that South Korea will be left out in this process. (p7) Regarding Europe, it will negotiate from a position of strength with various threats of withdrawal. (p8) Rapid changes are occurring. I will analyze diligently. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

U.S. Stocks Held by Korean Investors

Explore the surge of Korean investments in U.S. stocks post-Trump's election. Discover how Tesla and Nvidia are leading the way, along with surprising ownership stats among Koreans. Join us as we dive into the trends and implications for individual investors! (p1) Since Trumps election, the U.S. has been heating up, and we looked into which stocks foreign investors are holding. (p2) The ownership of Tesla has surged. It has firmly established its position at number one since Trumps election. (p3) Compared to November 4th, before Trumps election, it increased by $3 billion, and the second place, Nvidia, also saw a significant rise. (p4) So, what is the ownership rate of major stocks among Koreans? A whopping 1.6% of Tesla is owned by Koreans. Nvidia is also not insignificant at 0.4%. (p5) IonQ is a quantum computing company, and it has gained traction in Korea. A remarkable 33% is held by Koreans. (p6) You can think of MicroStrategy as Bitcoin, showcasing Koreans love for cryptocurrency. (p7) Surprisingly, Coupang is only at 1.2%. I will omit the rest below. (p8) Meanwhile, the Korean market is plummeting today as well, and looking at the deposit trends over the past three months, it has been continuously declining. Lets go, individual investors in Korea and abroad! Thank you. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

Stock Market Trends Post-Trump Election

In this video, we analyze the stock market trends following Trump's election, comparing the U.S. with Japan, Hong Kong, and the UK. Discover how Korea's indices fared and explore forecasts for various asset classes. Join us for insights into the global economic landscape and investment strategies! (p1) Analysis of stock market trends in various countries right after Trumps election. (p2) I have compared the three major U.S. indices, setting the U.S. stock market at the time of Trumps election to 100. (p3) The U.S. was already generally on the rise, and all indices surged sharply. (p4) How did Japan, Hong Kong, and the UK perform after Trumps election? (p5) Japan rose on expectations of a weaker yen, while the UK and China saw little change. (p6) So how did Korea fare? Lets take a look at KOSPI, KOSPI 200, and KOSDAQ. (p7) Koreas stocks, which were already slipping, fell even further. Is there really no solution for the national situation? It is concerning. (p8) Finally, I will share forecasts by asset class. The dollar, gold, and cryptocurrencies look good, but I am worried about emerging markets. Bonds, raw materials, and the renewable sector may not perform well under Trump. Thank you. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

Trump's Second Term Policies Explained

In this video, we analyze the impact of Trump's second-term policies on domestic industries, focusing on trade, military spending, and China's relations. Join us for a breakdown of these changes and their implications for companies in Korea. (p1) This is an analysis of the impact on domestic industries according to Trumps secondterm policies. (p2) The Trump administration has three core policies under the principle of prioritizing national interests. Lets look at them one by one. (p3) The trade surplus with the U.S. surged during the Biden era. In particular, car exports saw a significant increase. Its impossible to ignore the growing losses for Korea. (p4) The U.S. will strengthen trade pressures in various ways. Tariffs, elimination of subsidies, and regulatory changes will inevitably impact the semiconductor, automobile, machinery, steel, and battery industries. (p5) To save on war costs, Trump declared the suspension of war support. This will bring issues of Ukraine reconstruction and Europes military buildup to the forefront, and it is expected that the construction machinery, civil engineering, and defense sectors will benefit. (p6) Finally, if the crackdown on China strengthens, universal tariffs are expected, which could be favorable for Korean products. (p7) Having looked at the overall trends, we will also conduct a detailed analysis by company. Thank you. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

Trump's Election and Stock Market Impact

Analyzing the significant impact of Trump's election on various stock market sectors, particularly the decline of the battery sector. We'll explore how transportation, automotive, and other industries are affected, and track potential trends moving forward. Don't miss this critical market insight! (p1) Today we will look at the impact of Trumps election on the stock market. (p2) By sector, the battery sector has plummeted. (p3) Additionally, transportation, automotive, steel, and chemicals have dropped significantly. (p4) Looking at the KOSPI by market capitalization, most have declined, with the top 100 companies experiencing particularly large drops. (p5) In terms of the rate of decline among the top 100, battery companies are prominently visible. (p6) On the other hand, there were also sectors that saw quite a rise. (p7) In the case of KOSDAQ, the top 200 experienced significant declines, (p8) with all the top decliners being batteryrelated companies. Its a crash. (p9) Around 1230 PM, when Trumps election started to look likely, the trend changed rapidly. The battery or secondary battery sectors have been particularly hard hit, and it would be good to monitor the trends moving forward. Thank you. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker

Abolition of Securities Transaction Tax Impact

Today, we dive into the recent confirmation of the abolition of the securities transaction tax and its effects on the KOSPI and KOSDAQ. Discover how the top companies reacted and what it means for future market trends. Join us for an insightful analysis of this pivotal development. (p1) Today, there was news that the abolition of the securities transaction tax has been confirmed. (p2) Accordingly, I looked at how the KOSPI reacted, dividing the market capitalization rankings into groups of 200 to see the rate of increase the top 200 companies showed a significantly higher rate of increase. (p3) On the other hand, when we looked at it in detail by dividing it into groups of 50, only the top three groups were high, while the remaining groups were similar. (p4) In contrast, in the KOSDAQ, the rate of increase for the top 400 group was overwhelmingly higher than the others, (p5) and looking in detail, it seems that only about the top 100 companies increased significantly. (p6) The rate of increase wasnt as high as expected, and since it was concentrated on a few top companies, I dont think the positive effect of the abolition of the securities transaction tax will last long. Thank you. Youtube Link - Issue Tracker